While You Slept/Critical Minerals archive← Mon 22 Jun 2026Wed 24 Jun 2026 →Free by email
PHC
While You Slept — Critical Minerals Daily Energy Transition  ·  AI Buildout  ·  The Materials That Power Both
PAUL HAGUE CREATIONS ↗  ·  TUESDAY 23 JUNE 2026  ·  WYS EDITION 027
Data as of  Monday 22 June 2026 close  ·  Generated  23 June 2026  7:00 AM AEST  ·  S-260619_1909 / T-260601_1017
Commodity Prices
Key Overnight Moves · Headline Critical Minerals
↳ Background Context
Lithium (Carbonate · Hydroxide · Spodumene) · Cobalt · Nickel · Manganese · Graphite
Neodymium · Dysprosium · Terbium · Praseodymium · Lanthanum · NdFeB Magnets
Gallium · Germanium · Indium · Antimony · Tungsten · Titanium · Hafnium
Uranium · Vanadium · Molybdenum
Copper · Aluminium · Zinc · Lead · Tin · Nickel Pig Iron
Why this matters: Incumbent energy prices directly affect the transition narrative — an oil spike improves EV economics; cheap gas softens the case for grid storage; high coal accelerates renewables deployment. These are not critical minerals prices but they move the investment thesis.
Oil · Gas · Coal · Carbon · Hydrogen Proxy
Supply & Demand Signals
Mine Events · Export Controls · Battery Inventory · EV & Gigafactory News · Offtake Deals
PRICE Lithium ▼ Bearish
Lithium futures plunge 9% in China on CATL mine restart speculation
Chinese lithium futures shed about 9% over two days amid unconfirmed reports that CATL's Jianxiawo mine in Jiangxi may restart in H2 2026 following a preliminary government land assessment. The mine has been shut since last year due to permitting issues; any restart would add significant supply to a market already facing weak demand signals.
SUPPLY Copper ● Neutral
Canadian firm proposes new copper mine near Oregon wilderness
Ameriwest Critical Metals has revived plans for the Bornite Project, an underground copper-gold-silver mine targeting 1,000 tons per day, seeking fast-track permitting under US critical minerals rules. The project is in early stages near Salem's watershed but signals potential new North American supply.
Analysis
Overnight Briefing
Global Overview · What Moved & Why

USD Index rose 0.16% to 101.01 while S&P 500 fell 0.37%, with lithium carbonate at 157000 CNY/t down 6.13% and spodumene SC6 at 2289 USD/t down 6.30%; the moves reflect immediate pricing pressure on battery feedstocks amid unchanged macro data and no fresh China PMI release. China added MP Materials and USA Rare Earth to its export control list on June 22, barring Chinese firms from supplying dual-use items and directly constraining equipment and technology flows to the Mountain Pass operation and the Texas mine-to-magnet project with no offsetting supply announcements overnight. MP Materials and USA Rare Earth face the tightest constraints from the new controls given their prior reliance on Chinese dual-use inputs, while downstream magnet and defense-linked names such as L3Harris and Ball Aerospace also appear on the list with limited immediate ASX equity read-through beyond general sentiment on US-China trade friction.

Battery Supply Chain · Lithium · Cobalt · Nickel · Graphite
LITHIUMLithium carbonate fell 6.13% to 157000 CNY/t with spodumene SC6 down 6.30% to 2289 USD/t on the prior close.
EVNo new China EV sales or battery inventory data emerged in the overnight window.
NICKELNickel rose 1.08% to 17725 USD/t while cobalt held flat at 56290 USD/t.
GIGAFACTORYNo gigafactory announcements or cancellations were reported in the last 12-18 hours.
Rare Earths & Magnets · EV Motors · Defence · Wind
EXPORTChina placed MP Materials and USA Rare Earth on its export control list June 22, prohibiting dual-use item shipments.
SUPPLYMountain Pass remains the sole active US rare earth mine and now faces formal restrictions on Chinese equipment and technology.
CHINAThe controls apply extraterritorially and target ten US entities including defense contractors Aveox, L3Harris and Ball Aerospace.
MAGNETUSA Rare Earth’s Texas mine-to-magnet chain is directly affected by the new prohibitions on Chinese dual-use goods.
Strategic Metals · Export Controls · Supply Chain Risk
POLICYChina’s Ministry of Commerce framed the June 22 export controls as retaliation for recent US additions of Chinese firms to its lists.
EXPORTGallium held at 277 USD/kg and germanium at 2674 USD/kg with no fresh Chinese export data released overnight.
ANTIMONYAntimony traded unchanged at 7450 USD/t amid the broader export control escalation.
Macro Themes · Energy Transition · AI Buildout · Deglobalisation
USDUSD Index climbed 0.16% to 101.01, pressuring dollar-denominated prices for nickel and copper.
CHINAChina PMI data remained unreleased in the overnight window.
TRADEThe new export controls mark the latest escalation in US-China dual-use technology restrictions.
Technology Disruptions · Substitution Risks · Demand Amplifiers
Medium Impact 2–4 years
Na-Ion Battery Displacement Risk
CATL and BYD scaling Na-ion chemistry for sub-200km EVs. Reduces lithium demand in entry-level segment. Not a near-term threat to battery-grade lithium carbonate demand but creates ceiling on price recovery.
Affects: battery
Low Impact 3–5 years
Solid-State Battery Commercialisation
Toyota, Samsung SDI and QuantumScape targeting 2027–2028 commercial production. Uses lithium metal anode — potentially increases lithium intensity per kWh vs liquid electrolyte. Positive for lithium demand long term.
Affects: battery
High Impact Active
China Critical Mineral Export Controls
China has implemented export licensing for gallium, germanium, graphite and rare earth processing technology. Enforcement and scope subject to ongoing policy adjustment. Direct supply risk for Western manufacturers.
Affects: strategic, rare_earth, battery
Low Impact Ongoing
US IRA Critical Minerals Incentives
Inflation Reduction Act domestic content requirements for EV battery credits driving investment in non-Chinese supply chains. Benefits ASX and Canadian miners with US-market exposure.
Affects: battery, rare_earth
Market Watch
ASX Watchlist · Critical Minerals Producers
Ticker Company Exposure Price Change 7d Mkt Cap
PLS.AXPilbara MineralsLithium5.530▼ 5.95%▼ 6.90%—
MIN.AXMineral ResourcesLithium/Iron66.630▼ 3.64%▲ 2.21%—
LTR.AXLiontown ResourcesLithium1.900▼ 4.04%▼ 4.28%—
IGO.AXIGO LtdLithium/Nickel7.940▼ 2.82%▼ 6.92%—
WR1.AXWinsome ResourcesLithium————
LYC.AXLynas Rare EarthsRare Earths18.620▲ 2.42%▲ 10.24%—
ARR.AXAmerican Rare EarthsRare Earths0.335▲ 1.52%▼ 2.90%—
PDN.AXPaladin EnergyUranium9.830▼ 1.90%▲ 4.91%—
BOE.AXBoss EnergyUranium1.155▼ 2.94%▲ 3.59%—
SFR.AXSandfire ResourcesCopper20.710▼ 0.05%▲ 12.86%—
29M.AX29MetalsCopper/Zinc0.275▲ 0.00%▲ 12.24%—
ILU.AXIluka ResourcesRare Earths/Zircon8.130▲ 3.96%▲ 14.83%—
AGY.AXArgosy MineralsLithium0.054▼ 5.26%▼ 1.82%—
ASN.AXAnson ResourcesLithium0.048▼ 2.04%▼ 7.69%—
GLN.AXGalan LithiumLithium0.405▼ 3.57%▲ 6.58%—
VUL.AXVulcan Energy ResourcesLithium3.300▼ 1.49%▲ 1.85%—
LKE.AXLake ResourcesLithium0.049▼ 10.91%▼ 12.50%—
WC8.AXWildcat ResourcesLithium0.520▼ 7.96%▲ 10.64%—
EUR.AXEuropean LithiumLithium0.415▼ 1.19%▲ 5.06%—
GL1.AXGlobal Lithium ResourcesLithium0.490▲ 3.16%▲ 0.00%—
PMT.AXPMET ResourcesLithium0.620▲ 0.00%▲ 7.83%—
ASX Materials · Broader Movers
▲ Top Gainers
ILU.AXIluka ResourcesRare Earths/Zircon▲ 3.96%
GL1.AXGlobal Lithium ResourcesLithium▲ 3.16%
LYC.AXLynas Rare EarthsRare Earths▲ 2.42%
ARR.AXAmerican Rare EarthsRare Earths▲ 1.52%
29M.AX29MetalsCopper/Zinc▲ 0.00%
▼ Top Losers
LKE.AXLake ResourcesLithium▼ 10.91%
WC8.AXWildcat ResourcesLithium▼ 7.96%
PLS.AXPilbara MineralsLithium▼ 5.95%
AGY.AXArgosy MineralsLithium▼ 5.26%
LTR.AXLiontown ResourcesLithium▼ 4.04%
20/21 watchlist stocks · prior close
US Watchlist · Miners · Battery Names · EV Supply Chain
Ticker Company Exposure Price Change 7d Mkt Cap
MPMP MaterialsRare Earths60.290▼ 0.97%▲ 12.80%—
UUUUEnergy FuelsUranium/REE16.120▼ 2.66%▲ 17.75%—
CCJCamecoUranium107.070▲ 0.54%▲ 12.67%—
RIORio TintoLithium/Copper/Iron99.360▼ 0.72%▲ 0.30%—
LACLithium AmericasLithium4.300▼ 1.60%▲ 3.61%—
SQMSQMLithium78.650▼ 1.31%▲ 5.94%—
NEMNewmontGold/Copper101.800▼ 1.92%▲ 9.73%—
FCXFreeport-McMoRanCopper69.210▲ 0.77%▲ 11.49%—
VALEValeNickel/Iron15.710▲ 1.88%▲ 5.22%—
NYSE/NASDAQ · Broader Movers
▲ Top Gainers
VALEValeNickel/Iron▲ 1.88%
FCXFreeport-McMoRanCopper▲ 0.77%
CCJCamecoUranium▲ 0.54%
RIORio TintoLithium/Copper/Iron▲ 0.72%
MPMP MaterialsRare Earths▲ 0.97%
▼ Top Losers
UUUUEnergy FuelsUranium/REE▼ 2.66%
NEMNewmontGold/Copper▼ 1.92%
LACLithium AmericasLithium▼ 1.60%
SQMSQMLithium▼ 1.31%
MPMP MaterialsRare Earths▼ 0.97%
9/9 watchlist stocks · prior close
TSX Watchlist · Canadian Critical Minerals
Ticker Company Exposure Price Change 7d Mkt Cap
LUN.TOLundin MiningCopper/Zinc37.340▲ 0.57%▲ 1.27%—
FM.TOFirst QuantumCopper41.940▼ 2.49%▼ 0.66%—
CS.TOCapstone CopperCopper14.660▲ 0.34%▲ 6.70%—
NXE.TONexGen EnergyUranium14.800▼ 0.80%▲ 8.74%—
DML.TODenison MinesUranium4.650▼ 1.90%▲ 10.71%—
TSX · Broader Movers
▲ Top Gainers
LUN.TOLundin MiningCopper/Zinc▲ 0.57%
CS.TOCapstone CopperCopper▲ 0.34%
NXE.TONexGen EnergyUranium▲ 0.80%
DML.TODenison MinesUranium▲ 1.90%
FM.TOFirst QuantumCopper▲ 2.49%
▼ Top Losers
FM.TOFirst QuantumCopper▼ 2.49%
DML.TODenison MinesUranium▼ 1.90%
NXE.TONexGen EnergyUranium▼ 0.80%
CS.TOCapstone CopperCopper▼ 0.34%
LUN.TOLundin MiningCopper/Zinc▼ 0.57%
5/5 watchlist stocks · prior close
HK / Shanghai · Battery Makers · Chinese Miners
Ticker Company Exposure Price Change 7d Mkt Cap
3993.HKCMOC GroupCopper/Cobalt19.400▲ 2.81%▲ 19.24%—
1208.HKMMG LtdCopper/Zinc8.270▲ 0.24%▲ 1.97%—
2600.HKAluminum Corp ChinaAluminium/REE8.580▲ 0.35%▼ 11.91%—
1899.HKZhaojin MiningGold1.120▲ 0.00%▼ 2.61%—
HK / Shanghai · Broader Movers
▲ Top Gainers
3993.HKCMOC GroupCopper/Cobalt▲ 2.81%
2600.HKAluminum Corp ChinaAluminium/REE▲ 0.35%
1208.HKMMG LtdCopper/Zinc▲ 0.24%
1899.HKZhaojin MiningGold▲ 0.00%
▼ Top Losers
1899.HKZhaojin MiningGold▼ 0.00%
1208.HKMMG LtdCopper/Zinc▼ 0.24%
2600.HKAluminum Corp ChinaAluminium/REE▼ 0.35%
3993.HKCMOC GroupCopper/Cobalt▼ 2.81%
4/4 watchlist stocks · prior close
Calendar & Risks
Metal Category Scorecard
Category Performance · Net Signal · Best & Worst Movers
Battery Metals
5 metals tracked
▼ Bearish
-2.84%
Best
Nickel
+1.08%
Worst
Spodumene SC6
-6.30%
Lithium carbonate and spodumene prices fell sharply on the prior close with no offsetting demand data released overnight.
Rare Earths
No price data available this session.
Strategic Metals
4 metals tracked
◆ Neutral
-0.09%
Best
Indium
-0.09%
Worst
Indium
-0.09%
Gallium, germanium and antimony prices were unchanged while the broader export control framework tightened.
Energy Metals
2 metals tracked
▲ Bullish
+1.11%
Best
Nat. Gas
+1.11%
Worst
Nat. Gas
+1.11%
Uranium held at 86.1 USD/lb with no new contracting or production updates overnight.
Base Metals
6 metals tracked
◆ Neutral
-0.03%
Best
Zinc
+1.31%
Worst
Aluminium
-1.12%
Copper slipped 0.10% to 6.368 USD/lb while the Grasberg force majeure continues to project 591 kt of lost output.
Competing Energy
5 metals tracked
▼ Bearish
-1.56%
Best
Iron Ore
-0.14%
Worst
Crude Oil (WTI)
-3.38%
No oil, gas or coal price moves were reported that alter the energy transition narrative overnight.
Economic & Industry Calendar
China PMI · Trade Data · EV Sales · Battery Announcements · FOMC · RBA
Time (AEST) Ctry Event Impact Prior Forecast
00:30AUWestpac Consumer Confidence ChangeHigh3.5None
00:30AUWestpac Consumer Confidence IndexMedium83None
01:30AUNAB Business ConfidenceHigh-23None
01:30AURBA BulletinMediumNoneNone
03:00CNBalance of TradeHigh84.892.1
03:00CNExports YoYHigh14.115
03:00CNImports YoYHigh25.325
12:15USADP Employment Change WeeklyMedium30.5None
12:30USBalance of TradeMedium-56.6-56.1
12:30USExportsMedium318.8None
12:30USImportsMedium375.4None
14:00USExisting Home SalesHigh4.044.07
14:00USExisting Home Sales MoMMedium0.7None
16:00USEIA Short-Term Energy OutlookMediumNoneNone
16:30EUECB President Lagarde SpeechMediumNoneNone
20:30USAPI Crude Oil Stock ChangeMedium-6.75-3.4
Risks & Watch Items
Upcoming Supply Risk · Demand Uncertainty · Policy Watch
GEOFurther Chinese export control expansions could target additional US rare earth and defense entities.
POLICYUS response to the June 22 list additions remains pending.
SUPPLYMountain Pass operating status under new restrictions requires monitoring for equipment delays.
Get WYS Critical Minerals free in your inbox
Every weekday, before the ASX opens. No card, unsubscribe any time.
Sign up free →
or pick from all five reports