While You Slept/Critical Minerals archive← Fri 7 Aug 2026Tue 11 Aug 2026 →Free by email
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While You Slept — Critical Minerals Daily Energy Transition  ·  AI Buildout  ·  The Materials That Power Both
PAUL HAGUE CREATIONS ↗  ·  MONDAY 10 AUGUST 2026  ·  WYS EDITION 062
Data as of  Friday 7 August 2026 close  ·  Generated  10 August 2026  7:00 AM AEST  ·  S-260714_2027 / T-260601_1017
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Monday morning — all prices reflect Friday 7 August 2026 close
AU market holidays accounted for. Live data resumes next trading session.
Commodity Prices
Key Overnight Moves · Headline Critical Minerals
↳ Background Context
Lithium (Carbonate · Hydroxide · Spodumene) · Cobalt · Nickel · Manganese · Graphite
Neodymium · Dysprosium · Terbium · Praseodymium · Lanthanum · NdFeB Magnets
Gallium · Germanium · Indium · Antimony · Tungsten · Titanium · Hafnium
Uranium · Vanadium · Molybdenum
Copper · Aluminium · Zinc · Lead · Tin · Nickel Pig Iron
Why this matters: Incumbent energy prices directly affect the transition narrative — an oil spike improves EV economics; cheap gas softens the case for grid storage; high coal accelerates renewables deployment. These are not critical minerals prices but they move the investment thesis.
Oil · Gas · Coal · Carbon · Hydrogen Proxy
Supply & Demand Signals
Mine Events · Export Controls · Battery Inventory · EV & Gigafactory News · Offtake Deals
SUPPLY Copper ▲ Bullish
DRC bans copper concentrate exports
DRC implemented immediate ban on unbeneficiated copper and cobalt concentrate exports per June 29 ministerial order. Kamoa-Kakula smelter expected to absorb much volume but headline triggered LME copper gains up to 1.8%. Tightens near-term physical supply amid existing concentrate constraints.
SUPPLY Cobalt ▲ Bullish
DRC export ban hits cobalt concentrates
Same DRC order restricts cobalt concentrate exports effective immediately with limited waivers. Chinese smelters already facing shortages from prior curbs; adds pressure to battery metal supply chain. Potential for price squeeze in coming weeks.
POLICY Graphite ▲ Bullish
Graphite One aligns with US critical minerals EO
Graphite One highlighted strategic fit with White House executive order on Aug 7 reinforcing domestic supply chains. Supports US efforts to reduce China dependence for battery anode material. Positive signal for North American graphite project advancement.
SUPPLY Graphite ▲ Bullish
Kearney graphite project PEA positive
Global Battery Materials released positive preliminary economic assessment for Kearney graphite project. Advances potential new North American supply source amid EV battery demand growth. Reinforces diversification narrative.
DEMAND Lithium ● Neutral
New sustainable lithium extraction approaches
Industry coverage on Aug 8 highlighted emerging sustainable battery raw materials and lithium extraction technologies. Supports long-term supply growth to meet EV and storage demand without traditional mining bottlenecks.
PRICE Lithium ▲ Bullish
Lithium carbonate prices edge higher
Battery-grade lithium carbonate at SMM rose ~0.86% to ~21,095 USD/t on Aug 7-8. Modest rebound amid ongoing EV demand signals and supply adjustments in China and Australia.
Analysis
Overnight Briefing
Global Overview · What Moved & Why

Overnight, the USD Index fell 0.37% to 99.6 while AUD/USD rose 0.53%, easing pressure on Australian producers; copper slipped 1.74% to $6.5705/lb and lithium hydroxide dropped 2.10% to 128000 CNY/t with no offsetting supply shocks. The US Department of Defense’s $1.4 billion conditional loan to Sila Nanotechnologies plus $400 million for Australian scandium and $25 million for an Alabama graphite mine represent the only concrete Tier-1 development, directly injecting capital into domestic lithium-ion and rare-earth-free supply chains. Ivanhoe Electric’s Arizona copper project and Niron Magnetics’ magnet work stand to benefit most on the ASX and NYSE from the $3 billion package, while CATL’s still-shuttered Jianxiawo mine in Yichun continues to cap any near-term lithium output recovery.

Battery Supply Chain · Lithium · Cobalt · Nickel · Graphite
LITHIUMCATL’s Jianxiawo lithium mine in Yichun remains shut with no restart data after its August 2025 permit expiry.
LITHIUMLithium hydroxide fell 2.10% to 128000 CNY/t while lithium carbonate held flat at 142750 CNY/t.
EVNo gigafactory or EV sales data emerged from CATL, BYD or LG overnight.
GRAPHITE$25 million US financing allocated to an Alabama graphite mine project.
Rare Earths & Magnets · EV Motors · Defence · Wind
POLICYUS DoD provided $150 million to Niron Magnetics for rare-earth-free permanent magnets.
SUPPLYEarlier 2025 Chinese rare-earth export controls on holmium, erbium and others remain suspended into late 2026.
MAGNETNo new NdFeB or neodymium oxide price moves reported; neodymium oxide cached at 176 USD/kg.
CHINANo fresh MIIT/MOFCOM export licensing changes overnight.
Strategic Metals · Export Controls · Supply Chain Risk
POLICYUS announced $3 billion total in critical minerals financing including $400 million for Australian scandium expansion.
EXPORTTungsten APT jumped 9.60% to 665.57 USD/mtu with no linked supply disruption identified.
GALLIUMGallium held at 237.42 USD/kg with zero overnight movement.
GERMANIUMGermanium unchanged at 3104.31 USD/kg.
Macro Themes · Energy Transition · AI Buildout · Deglobalisation
USDUSD Index declined 0.37% to 99.6, supporting AUD-denominated producers.
CHINAChina PMI data absent from overnight releases.
TRADECNY/USD eased 0.17% to 6.7372, marginally lifting Chinese export competitiveness.
ENERGYS&P 500 rose 0.62% to 7758 with no direct critical minerals correlation.
Technology Disruptions · Substitution Risks · Demand Amplifiers
Medium Impact 2–4 years
Na-Ion Battery Displacement Risk
CATL and BYD scaling Na-ion chemistry for sub-200km EVs. Reduces lithium demand in entry-level segment. Not a near-term threat to battery-grade lithium carbonate demand but creates ceiling on price recovery.
Affects: battery
Low Impact 3–5 years
Solid-State Battery Commercialisation
Toyota, Samsung SDI and QuantumScape targeting 2027–2028 commercial production. Uses lithium metal anode — potentially increases lithium intensity per kWh vs liquid electrolyte. Positive for lithium demand long term.
Affects: battery
High Impact Active
China Critical Mineral Export Controls
China has implemented export licensing for gallium, germanium, graphite and rare earth processing technology. Enforcement and scope subject to ongoing policy adjustment. Direct supply risk for Western manufacturers.
Affects: strategic, rare_earth, battery
Low Impact Ongoing
US IRA Critical Minerals Incentives
Inflation Reduction Act domestic content requirements for EV battery credits driving investment in non-Chinese supply chains. Benefits ASX and Canadian miners with US-market exposure.
Affects: battery, rare_earth
Market Watch
ASX Watchlist · Critical Minerals Producers
Ticker Company Exposure Price Change 7d Mkt Cap
PLS.AXPilbara MineralsLithium4.580▲ 6.51%▲ 11.71%—
MIN.AXMineral ResourcesLithium/Iron64.170▲ 3.83%▲ 15.37%—
LTR.AXLiontown ResourcesLithium1.180▲ 9.26%▲ 6.79%—
IGO.AXIGO LtdLithium/Nickel7.450▲ 2.76%▲ 7.66%—
WR1.AXWinsome ResourcesLithium————
LYC.AXLynas Rare EarthsRare Earths16.250▲ 3.50%▲ 15.25%—
ARR.AXAmerican Rare EarthsRare Earths0.360▲ 1.41%▲ 5.88%—
PDN.AXPaladin EnergyUranium10.150▲ 3.26%▲ 14.56%—
BOE.AXBoss EnergyUranium1.335▲ 0.38%▲ 9.88%—
SFR.AXSandfire ResourcesCopper21.100▲ 1.15%▲ 13.32%—
29M.AX29MetalsCopper/Zinc0.315▲ 6.78%▲ 28.57%—
ILU.AXIluka ResourcesRare Earths/Zircon7.080▲ 4.42%▲ 17.61%—
AGY.AXArgosy MineralsLithium0.045▲ 2.27%▲ 9.76%—
ASN.AXAnson ResourcesLithium0.045▼ 2.17%▲ 7.14%—
GLN.AXGalan LithiumLithium0.315▲ 3.28%▲ 14.55%—
VUL.AXVulcan Energy ResourcesLithium2.860▲ 4.38%▲ 11.28%—
LKE.AXLake ResourcesLithium0.044▲ 0.00%▲ 10.00%—
WC8.AXWildcat ResourcesLithium0.385▲ 2.67%▲ 16.67%—
EUR.AXEuropean LithiumLithium0.295▲ 1.72%▲ 11.32%—
GL1.AXGlobal Lithium ResourcesLithium0.580▲ 13.73%▲ 14.85%—
PMT.AXPMET ResourcesLithium0.465▲ 8.14%▲ 12.05%—
ASX Materials · Broader Movers
▲ Top Gainers
GL1.AXGlobal Lithium ResourcesLithium▲ 13.73%
LTR.AXLiontown ResourcesLithium▲ 9.26%
PMT.AXPMET ResourcesLithium▲ 8.14%
29M.AX29MetalsCopper/Zinc▲ 6.78%
PLS.AXPilbara MineralsLithium▲ 6.51%
▼ Top Losers
ASN.AXAnson ResourcesLithium▼ 2.17%
LKE.AXLake ResourcesLithium▼ 0.00%
BOE.AXBoss EnergyUranium▼ 0.38%
SFR.AXSandfire ResourcesCopper▼ 1.15%
ARR.AXAmerican Rare EarthsRare Earths▼ 1.41%
20/21 watchlist stocks · prior close
US Watchlist · Miners · Battery Names · EV Supply Chain
Ticker Company Exposure Price Change 7d Mkt Cap
MPMP MaterialsRare Earths51.110▲ 7.62%▲ 34.15%—
UUUUEnergy FuelsUranium/REE14.140▲ 9.61%▲ 31.66%—
CCJCamecoUranium97.390▲ 4.03%▲ 15.16%—
RIORio TintoLithium/Copper/Iron101.100▲ 1.46%▲ 7.94%—
LACLithium AmericasLithium3.230▲ 6.95%▲ 19.19%—
SQMSQMLithium71.950▼ 0.69%▲ 6.51%—
NEMNewmontGold/Copper112.980▲ 7.16%▲ 23.69%—
FCXFreeport-McMoRanCopper69.620▲ 2.11%▲ 16.05%—
VALEValeNickel/Iron14.710▼ 0.07%▲ 0.41%—
NYSE/NASDAQ · Broader Movers
▲ Top Gainers
UUUUEnergy FuelsUranium/REE▲ 9.61%
MPMP MaterialsRare Earths▲ 7.62%
NEMNewmontGold/Copper▲ 7.16%
LACLithium AmericasLithium▲ 6.95%
CCJCamecoUranium▲ 4.03%
▼ Top Losers
SQMSQMLithium▼ 0.69%
VALEValeNickel/Iron▼ 0.07%
RIORio TintoLithium/Copper/Iron▼ 1.46%
FCXFreeport-McMoRanCopper▼ 2.11%
CCJCamecoUranium▼ 4.03%
9/9 watchlist stocks · prior close
TSX Watchlist · Canadian Critical Minerals
Ticker Company Exposure Price Change 7d Mkt Cap
LUN.TOLundin MiningCopper/Zinc37.660▲ 0.19%▲ 8.47%—
FM.TOFirst QuantumCopper43.670▲ 3.98%▲ 16.42%—
CS.TOCapstone CopperCopper15.430▲ 3.00%▲ 17.70%—
NXE.TONexGen EnergyUranium14.520▲ 1.47%▲ 12.21%—
DML.TODenison MinesUranium4.490▲ 2.75%▲ 15.13%—
TSX · Broader Movers
▲ Top Gainers
FM.TOFirst QuantumCopper▲ 3.98%
CS.TOCapstone CopperCopper▲ 3.00%
DML.TODenison MinesUranium▲ 2.75%
NXE.TONexGen EnergyUranium▲ 1.47%
LUN.TOLundin MiningCopper/Zinc▲ 0.19%
▼ Top Losers
LUN.TOLundin MiningCopper/Zinc▼ 0.19%
NXE.TONexGen EnergyUranium▼ 1.47%
DML.TODenison MinesUranium▼ 2.75%
CS.TOCapstone CopperCopper▼ 3.00%
FM.TOFirst QuantumCopper▼ 3.98%
5/5 watchlist stocks · prior close
HK / Shanghai · Battery Makers · Chinese Miners
Ticker Company Exposure Price Change 7d Mkt Cap
3993.HKCMOC GroupCopper/Cobalt19.100▲ 1.54%▲ 16.04%—
1208.HKMMG LtdCopper/Zinc9.280▲ 0.81%▲ 15.28%—
2600.HKAluminum Corp ChinaAluminium/REE8.600▲ 2.32%▲ 3.24%—
1899.HKZhaojin MiningGold1.140▲ 1.79%▼ 1.72%—
HK / Shanghai · Broader Movers
▲ Top Gainers
2600.HKAluminum Corp ChinaAluminium/REE▲ 2.32%
1899.HKZhaojin MiningGold▲ 1.79%
3993.HKCMOC GroupCopper/Cobalt▲ 1.54%
1208.HKMMG LtdCopper/Zinc▲ 0.81%
▼ Top Losers
1208.HKMMG LtdCopper/Zinc▼ 0.81%
3993.HKCMOC GroupCopper/Cobalt▼ 1.54%
1899.HKZhaojin MiningGold▼ 1.79%
2600.HKAluminum Corp ChinaAluminium/REE▼ 2.32%
4/4 watchlist stocks · prior close
Calendar & Risks
Metal Category Scorecard
Category Performance · Net Signal · Best & Worst Movers
Battery Metals
7 metals tracked
▼ Bearish
-2.10%
Best
Lithium Hydroxide
-2.10%
Worst
Lithium Hydroxide
-2.10%
Lithium hydroxide fell 2.10% amid continued shutdown at CATL’s Jianxiawo mine and zero fresh demand data.
Rare Earths
5 metals tracked
— No Change Data
No change data this session
5 metal price(s) available — no change data
No Chinese pricing or export policy moves; US $150 million Niron funding targets rare-earth-free magnet supply.
Strategic Metals
5 metals tracked
▲ Bullish
+9.60%
Best
Tungsten (APT)
+9.60%
Worst
Tungsten (APT)
+9.60%
Tungsten APT rose 9.60% while gallium and germanium held flat; US $400 million Australian scandium package is the sole policy item.
Energy Metals
2 metals tracked
▲ Bullish
+0.41%
Best
Nat. Gas
+0.83%
Worst
Uranium (U3O8)
0.00%
Uranium U3O8 unchanged at 86.5 USD/lb with no contracting or production updates.
Base Metals
6 metals tracked
▼ Bearish
-1.13%
Best
Aluminium
+0.22%
Worst
Zinc
-1.87%
Copper declined 1.74% to 6.5705 USD/lb on quiet overnight Chinese demand signals.
Competing Energy
5 metals tracked
▲ Bullish
+1.40%
Best
Silver
+3.08%
Worst
Iron Ore
-0.87%
S&P 500 gain of 0.62% occurred without direct linkage to oil or coal price moves affecting transition metals.
Economic & Industry Calendar
China PMI · Trade Data · EV Sales · Battery Announcements · FOMC · RBA
Time (AEST) Ctry Event Impact Prior Forecast
22:30USAverage Hourly Earnings m/mHigh0.3%0.3%
22:30USNon-Farm Employment ChangeHigh57K85K
22:30USUnemployment RateHigh4.2%4.2%
Risks & Watch Items
Upcoming Supply Risk · Demand Uncertainty · Policy Watch
POLICYUS DoD $1.4 billion Sila loan and $150 million Niron funding remain conditional and subject to drawdown timing.
SUPPLYIvanhoe Electric Arizona copper project referenced for additional US financing support.
MACROChina PMI and industrial output releases absent from overnight data feeds.
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